oppn parties Chhattisgarh: Divided Opposition Makes It Easy For BJP

News Snippets

  • China bans access to Indian news websites
  • PM Modi says that as Unlock-02 kicks in and more people resume working, people have to follow the rules even more religiously
  • PM Modi says that all citizens need to be vigilant against people who do not follow the rules in force, like wearing masks and maintaining social distancing
  • PM Modi warns the country that with the onset of the monsoon, more seasonal diseases will strike and citizens have to be more disciplined
  • Hero Cycles to buy the struggling Atlas Cycle group
  • RIL to buy the retail businesses of Future Group
  • Import licensing to be put in place for AC's TV's and other non-essential items
  • Rafale to deliver the first batch of the fighter jets to India by the end of July
  • J&K separatist leader Syed Ali Shah Geelani, the most visible face of the Hurriyat, broke all relations with the forum
  • Nearly 20000 new Covid cases reported in India on Sunday. 384 deaths reported
  • Even as the Centre checks Chinese shipments for viruses and malware, transport minister Nitin Gadkari says holding up consignments at ports will hit India more than China
  • Fuel retailers in J&K asked to stock up on LPG cylinders for two months due to fear over the closure of roads because of landslides and flooding in the monsoons. But it triggers wild speculations about war with China
  • Amazon to hire 20000 temporary staff in addition to the 50000 seasonal staff it hired recently
  • RBI board thinks of relaxing norms for NPAs. The 90-day recognition might be extended to 180 days due to widespread distress due to the lockdown
  • Google and Apple approach the government to include their API in Aarogya Setu app for contact tracing of Covid-19 infected persons
PM Modi announces extension of PM Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana, the free ration scheme for the poor, until November
oppn parties
Chhattisgarh: Divided Opposition Makes It Easy For BJP

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2018-09-25 12:42:28

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Writes for a number of publications.
The Congress party has lost a very good opportunity of unseating the Raman Singh government in Chhattisgarh by ignoring Mayawati to the point that she quickly aligned with Ajit Jogi. Those who manage the party’s affairs in the state perhaps did not do simple voting percentage calculations. Otherwise, they would not have let go of the BSP at any cost. For, the voting pattern in the state shows that very little separates the Congress from the BJP, while the BSP gets nearly 4 to 5% of the popular votes. With Ajit Jogi likely to chip in with 3 to 4% of votes (most of it snared from the Congress), it will all work out to the advantage of the BJP. With opposition votes divided, it will now take a swing of more than 7 to 10 percent away from the BJP to defeat it. If Congress had aligned with the BSP, the task would have been achieved even if all parties latched on to the votes they got in the last elections.

Raman Singh has been chief minister for three straight terms from 2003. The electoral performance of the BJP shows a small increase in support for it in each subsequent election. In 2003, the BJP got 50 seats with 39.26% of popular votes, while the Congress got 37 seats with 36.71% votes and the BSP 2 seats and 4.45% votes. The figures in 2008 were BJP 50 (40.33%), Congress 38 (38.63) and the BSP 2 (6.11), while in 2013 the BJP won 49 (41.00), Congress 39 (40.03) and the BSP 1 (4.30). This shows that while the BJP has not lost vote share, the Congress is catching up in every election. The difference in 2003 was 2.55%, in 2008 1.7% while in 2013 it dropped to under 1%. Theoretically, if Congress and BSP had combined they would have scored an easy victory. But that was not to be and now it seems that Raman Singh will shake off anti-incumbency and romp home to victory.