oppn parties Exit Polls: Major Gains Predicted For The BJP-Led NDA

News Snippets

  • Supreme Court questions the continuing relevance of two-child norms. The Court observed that falling fertility rates have weakened the population-control rationale behind laws disqualifying people with more than two children from contesting local body elections. It referred the issue to a larger Bench for consideration
  • Supreme Court declines to shift Tirupati laddu case outside Andhra Pradesh. The Court rejected a plea seeking transfer of the trial, despite arguments that political statements by Andhra Pradesh's Chief Minister and Deputy Chief Minister could affect the fairness of proceedings
  • Supreme Court transfers Azam Khan's fresh ED bail plea to Allahabad High Court. The apex court declined to consider the Samajwadi Party leader's bail request in a fresh Enforcement Directorate case and directed that it be listed before a division Bench of the High Court on November 16
  • Two killed in Delhi building collapse; contractor booked. Two bodies were recovered after a building collapsed in Chawri Bazaar. Delhi Chief Minister Rekha Gupta said the contractor had been booked and the concerned junior and assistant engineers suspended
  • Uttar Pradesh voter rolls show a 2.4-crore discrepancy. A difference of approximately 2.4 crore names has been reported between the state's panchayat and rural Assembly voter lists. The Election Commission has ordered the two sets of rolls to be matched
  • Gujarat announces 3% dearness allowance hike. The state government announced a three-percentage-point increase in dearness allowance for government employees and pensioners ahead of Diwali
  • Sensex and Nifty post their strongest single-day gains in months. The Sensex surged 2,008.61 points, or 2.60%, to close at 79,310.01, while the Nifty 50 climbed 576 points, or 2.40%, to 24,536.60. Financial and automobile stocks led the rally, supported by falling crude prices and renewed foreign investor buying
  • Maaya Rajeshwaran reaches WTA-level quarter-final. The 17-year-old Indian defeated Poland's Weronika Falkowska 6-4, 6-3, becoming the first Indian woman since Sania Mirza in 2012 to reach a quarter-final at a WTA Tour-level singles event
  • Tanvi Patri reaches Youth Olympics badminton final. The 15-year-old defeated Japan's Yuzuno Watanabe in the semi-final, assuring India of a medal and becoming the first Indian badminton player to reach the girls' singles final at the Youth Olympics
  • India beat Pakistan 3-2 in SAFF Championship. India defeated Pakistan in a closely contested match, having led 3-0 before conceding two late goals. The victory was reported as a significant result for India's second-string side
  • India beat Japan 4-1 to win a record sixth Asian Champions Trophy. India recovered from an early deficit to defeat Japan in the final at Mohali, extending its record as the tournament's most successful men's team
  • The Supreme Court issued notice to the Centre and the Election Commission on a petition challenging Section 16 of the Chief Election Commissioner and Other Election Commissioners Act, 2023, which grants the CEC and Election Commissioners protection from legal proceedings for acts performed in their official duties. The petition argues that such blanket immunity could leave citizens without an effective remedy for alleged wrongdoing by the Commission
  • The Supreme Court told voters whose names were deleted from Delhi's draft electoral rolls not to be apprehensive about seeking re-enrolment through Form 6, after the Election Commission assured it that such applicants would not be prosecuted merely because their names had appeared in earlier rolls
  • Congress leader Rahul Gandhi opened the party's campaign for the 2027 Punjab Assembly elections with an Insaaf rally in Sangrur, Chief Minister Bhagwant Mann's home district, accusing the AAP government of failing to control drugs, gangster violence and corruption. Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge outlined six commitments, including a drug-free Punjab, protection of farmers, employment for young people and action against corruption
  • Rahul Gandhi accused the AAP government of running Punjab through a remote control from Delhi and questioned Bhagwant Mann's ability to tackle drug abuse, making personal allegations about the Chief Minister's conduct during their time together in Parliament
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Exit Polls: Major Gains Predicted For The BJP-Led NDA

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2024-06-02 07:26:25

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Author of Cyber Scams in India, Digital Arrest, The Money Trap and The Human Hack

The exit polls predict a similar or slightly better performance by the BJP-led NDA in 2024. It is expected to cross the 353 seats it got in 2019 but except three polls, none of the others show that 400 paar is going to be achieved. The poll of polls shows that the NDA is expected to get between 365 and 380 seats. The opposition alliance is far behind at 120-135. The polls show that the BJP has gained in UP, Bihar, Bengal, Odisha, Andhra, Telangana and Tamil Nadu while losing some ground in Rajasthan and maintaining its hold in other states. In Maharashtra, it is a neck-to- neck fight. The opposition has done well in Tamil Nadu and Kerala, where the Left Front is expected to be decimated.

For the opposition, this is disturbing news but one which is of their own making. They could not connect with the voters and could not build a narrative that could turn the voters away from the BJP. It also proves that the Modi magic is intact and in fact it is growing, as the predictions for Bengal, Odisha and Tamil Nadu show. The predictions for Delhi, which is the best example of the opposition unity, show that the two major opposition parties, Congress and AAP, have not been able to dent the BJPs popularity in the NCR when it comes to Lok Sabha elections. The BJP is expected to sweep Delhi and a few polls predict that the opposition might snatch just one seat.

If the results mirror the exit polls and if the NDA is able to secure 370 seats, the opposition is sure to say that the BJP was not able to achieve its target of 400 paar and has hence not done well. But the fact is that with such a brute majority in the Lok Sabha and a working majority in the Rajya Sabha, NDA 3.0 will be able to push through its agenda at a faster pace in the next five years. The opposition will be in for a tougher time as PM Modi has already spoken of taking the crusade against corruption to a higher level in his third term. Also, the BJP is now likely to push hard for consolidating the gains it is likely to achieve in Bengal, Odisha and the southern states.