oppn parties Karnataka Exit Polls: No Clear Picture

News Snippets

  • MS Dhoni decides to take a two-month break, will skip West Indies tour but will not retire
  • Phagu Chauhan is the new Governor of Bihar while Ramesh Bais has been appointed as that of Tripura
  • Governors: Anandiben Patel shifted from Madhya Pradesh to Uttar Pradesh and Lalji Tandon from Bihar to Madhya Pradesh
  • Naga talks interlocutor RN Ravi appointed as Governor of Nagaland
  • Noted lawyer Jagdeep Dhankhar appointed as new Governor of West Bengal
  • 84 NDRF teams have been despatched to 23 states to tackle the flood situation
  • Three persons lynched in Bihar after being accused of cattle theft
  • Delhi police seize a consignment of 1500 kgs of heroin and busts a cartel of Afghanistan-Pakistan narcotics dealers with links to the Taliban
  • Supreme Court gives 9 more months to complete the Babri Masjid demolition case trial
  • Priyanka Gandhi not allowed to meet the families of the dead in the Sonabhadra firing, arrested
  • ICC inducts Sachin Tendulkar in [email protected]@@s Hall of Fame
  • Stock markets bleed for the second day. Sensex crashes 560 points
  • S Jaishankar, Minister of External Affairs, says Pakistan should release and repatriate Kulbhushan Jadhav immediately
  • Karnataka Governor Vajubhai Vala asks the Speaker to hold the trust vote latest by 1.30 pm today
  • The Government sends a list of 24 questions to mobile app company that runs video app TikTok seeking answers for anti-national and obscene content carried on the platform
Former Delhi CM and senior Congress leader Sheila Dikshit dies following a cardiac arrest. She was 81
oppn parties
Karnataka Exit Polls: No Clear Picture

By admin

About the Author

Sunil Garodia By our team of in-house writers.
Nearly 70% people voted in Karnataka, a dip of 1.3% from the last elections in 2013. Bangalore showed it was not interested – only 50% voted, which was a huge dip of 7.6% from 2013. The exit polls, as usual, showed different results. Of the six polls that came out with their assessments, two showed BJP forming the next government while one gave it to the Congress. Of the other three, two found BJP to be the largest party in a hung house, with one even saying that it might form the government and another gave Congress the largest party status. An average of all polls showed that it is going to be a hung house with BJP the largest party. All polls agreed on one thing: that the JD(S) will get anywhere between 20-40 seats, brightening its chances of playing kingmaker.

The India Today-Axis poll showed that the Congress might form the next government by getting between 106-118 seats with BJP trailing at 79-92 and JD(S) at 22-30. ABP News-CVoter showed that BJP is going to form the next government by bagging 112 seats followed by the Congress at 88 and JD(S) at 23. The Times Now-Today’s Chanakya poll also gave it to the BJP with 109-131 seats and put Congress at 62-84 and JD(S) at 19-33. On the other hand, Republic-Jan Ki Baat poll, while predicting a hung house, showed that BJP might just be in a position to form the government if it secured the upper limit t 95-114. This poll placed Congress at 73-82 and JD(S) at 32-42. The NewsX-CNX poll showed BJP as the largest party with 102-106 seats, Congress second at 72-75 seats and JD(S) at 35-38. Times Now had a second poll with VMR and it showed Congress nosing ahead at 97 seats with BJP following at 95 and JD(S) at 28.

By applying the unscientific method of finding an average of all polls, it is found that the BJP will emerge as the largest party with 103-104 seats. The Congress will trail at 87 seats and the JD(S) will emerge the possible kingmaker at 29-30 seats. This scenario confirms the earlier findings that this was a wave-less election with muted anti-incumbency and a hung house was the most likely result. It also confirms that the Modi blitz at the end failed to sway enough voters to make a difference to BJP’s fortune. Yet we have to wait till the final results are declared, as exit polls have a tendency of going horribly wrong, to make better assessments.

pic courtesy: financial express