oppn parties Karnataka Exit Polls: No Clear Picture

News Snippets

  • SC says it will revisit its definition of 'Hindutva' in the light of growing hate speeches
  • Indigo reduces the flying ban on stand-up comic Kunal Kamra to three months after an inquiry committee finds that it was a Level 1 offense not meriting a 6-month ban
  • Akali Dal MP Naresh Gujral says Delhi Police did not act on his phone call asking them to help 16 people trapped in riot-hit areas
  • AAP councillor Tahir Hussain, booked for murder and arson, says he is being framed
  • New HC bench allows the Delhi Police plea that the situation is no conducive to the filing of FIRs and also allows the Centre to become a party to the case
  • Justice S Muralidhar of the Delhi High Court, who was part of the bench that pulled up the Delhi Police for not filing FIRs against BJP leaders for hate speeches, transferred to Punjab HC
  • Two Special Investigation Teams (SITs) of Crime Branch in Delhi Police have been formed under DCP Joy Tirkey and DCP Rajesh Deo. The teams will immediately take over the investigations of the cases related to northeast Delhi violence. Both the teams will be under the supervision of BK Singh, additional commissioner of police (Crime Branch)
  • Sporadic violence was reported from riot-hit areas in the capital as the intensity of the madness seems to have abated. The death toll has risen to 37
  • Special DG (Training) in CRPF, S N Shrivastava, appointed special commissioner (law & order) in Delhi Police in order to quell the violence. He is also expected to take over as chief of Delhi police once Amulya Patnaik's term ends on February 29
  • Curfew and shoot at sight orders reportedly in force in some areas, but Delhi Police HQ does not issue a notice for the same
  • The Central government has pressed paramilitary forces to control the riots in Delhi
  • Mobs in Delhi target journalists, check them for religious identity and snatch equipment
  • 13 people deal until now in one of the worst spells of violence in Delhi
  • Violence in Delhi shows no signs of abating with fresh areas in the north-eastern part of the capital coming under its grip
  • Delhi High Court says DGCA was wrong in approving the flying ban on stand-up comic Kunal Kamra by airlines other than Indigo for his alleged misbehavior with TV anchor Arnab Goswami aboard an Indigo flight
Delhi Police file a case for murder and arson against Aam Aadmi Party councillor Tahir Hussain. Hussain is believed to have played a role in the murder of IB staffer Ankit Sharma whose body was found in Jafrabad
oppn parties
Karnataka Exit Polls: No Clear Picture

By admin
First publised on 2018-05-13 09:30:48

About the Author

Sunil Garodia By our team of in-house writers.
Nearly 70% people voted in Karnataka, a dip of 1.3% from the last elections in 2013. Bangalore showed it was not interested – only 50% voted, which was a huge dip of 7.6% from 2013. The exit polls, as usual, showed different results. Of the six polls that came out with their assessments, two showed BJP forming the next government while one gave it to the Congress. Of the other three, two found BJP to be the largest party in a hung house, with one even saying that it might form the government and another gave Congress the largest party status. An average of all polls showed that it is going to be a hung house with BJP the largest party. All polls agreed on one thing: that the JD(S) will get anywhere between 20-40 seats, brightening its chances of playing kingmaker.

The India Today-Axis poll showed that the Congress might form the next government by getting between 106-118 seats with BJP trailing at 79-92 and JD(S) at 22-30. ABP News-CVoter showed that BJP is going to form the next government by bagging 112 seats followed by the Congress at 88 and JD(S) at 23. The Times Now-Today’s Chanakya poll also gave it to the BJP with 109-131 seats and put Congress at 62-84 and JD(S) at 19-33. On the other hand, Republic-Jan Ki Baat poll, while predicting a hung house, showed that BJP might just be in a position to form the government if it secured the upper limit t 95-114. This poll placed Congress at 73-82 and JD(S) at 32-42. The NewsX-CNX poll showed BJP as the largest party with 102-106 seats, Congress second at 72-75 seats and JD(S) at 35-38. Times Now had a second poll with VMR and it showed Congress nosing ahead at 97 seats with BJP following at 95 and JD(S) at 28.

By applying the unscientific method of finding an average of all polls, it is found that the BJP will emerge as the largest party with 103-104 seats. The Congress will trail at 87 seats and the JD(S) will emerge the possible kingmaker at 29-30 seats. This scenario confirms the earlier findings that this was a wave-less election with muted anti-incumbency and a hung house was the most likely result. It also confirms that the Modi blitz at the end failed to sway enough voters to make a difference to BJP’s fortune. Yet we have to wait till the final results are declared, as exit polls have a tendency of going horribly wrong, to make better assessments.

pic courtesy: financial express