oppn parties Karnataka: Ideally, The BJP Should Sit In The Opposition

News Snippets

  • China bans access to Indian news websites
  • PM Modi says that as Unlock-02 kicks in and more people resume working, people have to follow the rules even more religiously
  • PM Modi says that all citizens need to be vigilant against people who do not follow the rules in force, like wearing masks and maintaining social distancing
  • PM Modi warns the country that with the onset of the monsoon, more seasonal diseases will strike and citizens have to be more disciplined
  • Hero Cycles to buy the struggling Atlas Cycle group
  • RIL to buy the retail businesses of Future Group
  • Import licensing to be put in place for AC's TV's and other non-essential items
  • Rafale to deliver the first batch of the fighter jets to India by the end of July
  • J&K separatist leader Syed Ali Shah Geelani, the most visible face of the Hurriyat, broke all relations with the forum
  • Nearly 20000 new Covid cases reported in India on Sunday. 384 deaths reported
  • Even as the Centre checks Chinese shipments for viruses and malware, transport minister Nitin Gadkari says holding up consignments at ports will hit India more than China
  • Fuel retailers in J&K asked to stock up on LPG cylinders for two months due to fear over the closure of roads because of landslides and flooding in the monsoons. But it triggers wild speculations about war with China
  • Amazon to hire 20000 temporary staff in addition to the 50000 seasonal staff it hired recently
  • RBI board thinks of relaxing norms for NPAs. The 90-day recognition might be extended to 180 days due to widespread distress due to the lockdown
  • Google and Apple approach the government to include their API in Aarogya Setu app for contact tracing of Covid-19 infected persons
PM Modi announces extension of PM Garib Kalyan Anna Yojana, the free ration scheme for the poor, until November
oppn parties
Karnataka: Ideally, The BJP Should Sit In The Opposition

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2018-05-15 16:54:14

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Writes for a number of publications.
With the numbers not going in its favour and the JD(S)-Congress joining hands, will the BJP sit in the opposition and let Kumaraswamy become the next CM of Karnataka? On the face of it, that should be the best way for the party. But in democracy, there are many threads and each thread is exploited differently at different times. Forgetting Goa and Manipur, the BJP now says that it is not going to allow the Congress and the JD(S) to “usurp” the people’s verdict. But how is the party going to form the government with only 104-105 seats it is expected to finally get? Let us assume that the two independents will support it and it will win the two seats where elections have been deferred. It will still have only 108-109 seats, 3-4 seats short of majority. The Congress (76-78) and the JD(S) (37-39) together have 115 seats, a clear majority. Clearly, although the BJP can claim support of a majority of Kannadigas (though even that is doubtful as the vote share of both Congress and BJP is almost same), they have not given it enough seats to take a shot at forming the government.

Yet, anything can happen in the given situation. The governor can cite custom (although not followed in recent times in Goa and Manipur) to invite the BJP first as it is the single largest party. Once that happens, apart from the cacophony of charges about ‘murder of democracy’ from the opposition, horse trading will start immediately. For, the BJP alone is definitely not in a position to form the government. Or he can see the writing on the wall and invite Congress-JD(S) to form a stable government. Ideally, the BJP should inform the governor that it is not in a position to form the government and let Kumaraswamy become the CM with Congress’ blessings. Then, it should wait for the alliance to self-destruct. With Congress having more than twice the seats that JD(S) has, it is now yielding the CM’s chair to Kumaraswamy just to prevent the BJP from forming the government by offering a deal to the JD(S). This arrangement is not going to last. It will be in BJP’s interests not to form the government now. But will the aggressive Amit Shah and ambitious Yeddyurappa take this line?