oppn parties Uttar Pradesh: BJP Likely To Storm Back To Power

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  • Allahabad HC said that the UP Police is acting as law unto themselves as they detained a person unlawfully even before his arrest
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  • Neha Bora was subsequently released and Dipke is to appear before a magistrate today at noon
  • Delhi Police detained Cockroach Janta Party founder Abhijeet Dipke, Neha Bora of AISA, student leaders and supporters ahead of a rally in Connaught Place demanding Chief Election Commissioner Gyanesh Kumar's resignation. The protest followed the detention and jailing of two CJP leaders earlier in the week over demonstrations at Jantar Mantar
  • The Reserve Bank of India is considering further monetary tightening to counter capital outflows and increase the cost of betting against the rupee, according to bankers and analysts cited by Reuters. The measures follow recent rate increases and steps to drain liquidity as pressure on the currency and inflation concerns persist
  • India directed oil marketing companies to stop diverting sugar-based feedstocks for ethanol production in the 2026–27 supply year, according to a new tender issued on Friday. The companies have invited bids for 11 billion litres of ethanol made from alternatives including corn and broken rice, amid concerns about domestic sugar supplies and prices
  • Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said India's trade imbalance with China was growing sharply and attributed the problem partly to restrictions on Indian goods and services entering the Chinese market. China subsequently said it was ready to work with India to address mutual economic and trade concerns; India's trade deficit with China reached $69 billion in the first half of FY2026–27, up 27% year-on-year
  • Indian equity benchmarks extended their recovery on Friday, with the Sensex rising 413.66 points to close at 74,729.27 and the Nifty 50 gaining 148.80 points to settle at 23,146.15. Information technology shares, including Tech Mahindra, Infosys and TCS, helped lift the indices
  • India defeated Zimbabwe by four wickets in the opening women's T20 International in Raipur, taking a 1–0 lead in the three-match series. Deepti Sharma and Niki Prasad combined in an 82-run stand after India's top order collapsed, helping the hosts chase down Zimbabwe's total of 114 for five
  • Indian wrestler Komal won bronze in the women's 59 kg category at the Under-23 World Wrestling Championships in Las Vegas, defeating Kazakhstan's Viktoriia Khusainova 7–2. Fellow Indian Amruta Pujari advanced to the women's 72 kg final after recording two pinfall victories
  • Indian shuttler Jagsher Singh Khangurra secured a bronze medal at the BWF World Junior Badminton Championships in Cairo
  • The Supreme Court of India upheld the Bombay High Court's decision quashing the 2020 write-off of ₹8,415 crore in additional tier-1 bonds issued by Yes Bank (Yes Bank). The court ruled that the bank's administrator lacked the authority to extinguish the bonds under the final reconstruction scheme, strengthening bondholders' claims
  • The Supreme Court issued notices to the Election Commission of India, Delhi Police and opposition leaders, including Rahul Gandhi and Akhilesh Yadav, in separate petitions concerning electoral-roll revision and protests held in Delhi on October 10–12. The court also directed the preservation of CCTV footage linked to allegations of police excesses
  • The Supreme Court ruled that a person converting from Hinduism to Islam cannot automatically claim backward-class reservation benefits in the new religious community solely on the basis of their previous caste status. The judgment upheld the Madras High Court's decision striking down a 2024 Tamil Nadu government order that permitted such certification for specified communities
  • The Election Commission of India ordered a Special Summary Revision of electoral rolls in 14 states and three Union Territories, using January 1, 2027, as the qualifying date for voter eligibility. The draft rolls are scheduled for publication on November 12, claims and objections will be accepted until December 11, and the final rolls are due on January 4, 2027
Delhi HC refuses to ban CJP's Tiranga rally at Central Park in Connaught Place today /////// Police says will control and regulate it /////// NDMC closes the park for the public on Friday and Saturday
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Uttar Pradesh: BJP Likely To Storm Back To Power

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2022-03-07 15:51:42

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Author of Cyber Scams in India, Digital Arrest, The Money Trap and The Human Hack

The Uttar Pradesh exit poll proves many things. It proves that even if there was anti-incumbency, it was not strong enough to unseat the Yogi Adityanath government. It proves that despite raising the pitch, instigating defections from the BJP and turning the fight into Mandal versus Kamandal, Akhilesh Yadav and the Samajvadi Party (SP) could not breast the tape. It proves that the speculation that the Jats and farmers would vote en bloc against the BJP also did not happen. It proves that just the consolidation of the Yadav and Muslim votes, along with some OBC votes, is not enough to shake, let alone break into, the BJP citadel. It also proves that the social engineering put in place by the wily Amit Shah in UP (following the lead of former BJP leader K N Govindacharya) is durable and the OBCs have not deserted the BJP despite several of their leaders leaving the party.

Most exit polls are giving the BJP nearly 240 seats. Some polls even give it up to 320 seats. At the lower end of the predictions, the BJP gets only 225 seats, 90 seats lesser than the 312 it won in 2017. If we dig deeper, we find that its vote share has actually increased this time. The lesser number of seats is because the SP managed to increase its vote share by a huge margin. But the SP could not win a majority because it did not get the votes at the BJP's expense. Both BJP and SP gained voters from the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and the Congress. While the final figures will be out only on March 10, the exit poll trends clearly show that the people have voted positively for the BJP. They have also voted for the SP but that is because they have rejected the other opposition parties and not because they have rejected the BJP.

As per the exit polls, the clear mandate in UP is in favour of the BJP. Yes it may lose more than 70 seats (or even win 10 more if some polls are to be believed) but that it due to a host of factors, not the least being some amount of anti-incumbency and a resurgent SP. But in a state as big as UP, it is not enough to be strong in some pockets or have the full support of some castes and communities. The consistency has to be maintained across the state and among all communities and SP was found wanting in this, despite the huge crowds that flocked its rallies. The BJP managed to retain its support base despite several high profile desertions and is likely to come back to power comfortably. This will be the first time in 40 years that an incumbent will be voted back to power in UP.

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