oppn parties Will NDA Return With Majority?

News Snippets

  • University vice-chancellors in West Bengal decide not to hold final-year examinations despite UGC prod, will instead go by the state government advised 80-20 formula where 80% will be marked on performance in past semesters and 20% on internal assessments in the final semester
  • The Centre wants the ITI and other top Indian firms to bid for 5G as Chinese firms Huawei and ZTE are not likely to be allowed to participate
  • India and China agree on total disengagement to return to peace ahead of the next round of military talks
  • The Supreme Court allows delivery of summons and notices via WhatsApp and email, but questions remain on proof of actual receipt
  • National Investigation Agency says the proceeds from the Kerala gold smuggling case could have been used for terrorist activities
  • Four Maoists shot dead in Valmiki Tiger Reserve in Bihar
  • Despite localized lockdown, Covid cases continue to rise at an alarming rate in West Bengal. Newer areas brought under containment zones in Kolkata
  • ICSE, ISC results declared, Average scores in the English paper, 20% lower this year than the average in most years, pulls down the aggregate for most candidates
  • IIP contracts by 35% in May. Manufacturing goes down by 39.3%
  • Row erupts over CBSE's decision to reduce the syllabus by 30% this academic year due to the disruption caused by the pandemic. Experts say several lessons that the ruling dispensation does not like are being removed
  • Gangster Vikas Dubey's nephew killed in an encounter by UP police who also pick up his key aide Raju Khullar and his son Adarsh
  • MHA sets up an inter-ministerial committee to probe the alleged financial misdeeds of three trusts linked to the Gandhi family
  • Actor Jagdeep, most famous for his Soorma Bhopali act in Sholay, passes away
  • Pakistan says Kulbhushan Jadhav has declined to file a review petition and will stick to his mercy plea. India calls it a farce
  • India to keep a strict vigil to confirm that the Chinese are abiding by the deal on the pullback at the LAC
The plot thickens in Rajasthan. Sachin Pilot removed as deputy chief minister and PCC chief. His loyalists dropped as ministers.
oppn parties
Will NDA Return With Majority?

By A Special Correspondent
First publised on 2019-03-19 08:35:16

The Times Now-VMR opinion survey, the first since the Balakot strikes, shows the NDA gaining 13 seats and the UPA losing 17 seats while the others (parties not aligned with the two major groups) gaining 4 seats from a similar survey conducted a few months ago. For the first time since surveys for the general elections started appearing, the NDA has been projected to get an absolute majority. Previously it was close to the half-way mark and it was expected that as the largest group, it would get post-poll support from smaller parties to form the next government. But after the Balakot strikes, the equation seems to have changed.

The NDA is not likely to suffer as much damage as was expected in UP. Although it is going to lose, it is slowly crawling back in the picture to retain more than half the seats it won in 2014. With reports of infighting in the SP and party workers’ refusal to work for candidates of the other party, it seems the BJP would be able to minimize its losses. In Bihar, with the opposition mahagathbandhan floundering, Nitish Kumar is likely to add handsomely to the NDA tally.

The picture in the rest of the country is along expected lines. The BJP, despite strategic alliances, is nowhere in the picture in the south, barring Karnataka. In Maharashtra, the party will gain due to its renewed alliance with the Shiv Sena. The Gujarat scenario confirms that the state’s love affair with Modi continues despite the scare in the assembly elections. Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are likely to vote in a different manner for the Lok Sabha polls and although they booted out incumbent BJP governments in the recent assembly elections, they will dash Congress hopes by backing the NDA in Lok Sabha.

The NDA gains massively in the east and the North-East. The alliance is likely to make major gains in West Bengal and Odisha and is likely to sweep the North-East. Punjab is likely to reject all NDA candidates and give 12 seats to the Congress. The two alliances are likely to be on even keel in some of the smaller states like Goa.

The results of the survey once again confirm that if the index of opposition unity is low, the BJP gains. Hence, it is the failing of opposition leaders that they have not been able to set aside personal egos and turf wars to come together despite charging the BJP with destroying the institutions and dividing the nation. Who, then, is doing more harm to the country? The BJP, by governing as per its agenda or the opposition for being so selfish?