oppn parties Delhi: Kejriwal Poised For Another Innings As Chief Minister

News Snippets

  • Corona cases in India cross 4000 and the death toll stands at 124
  • The government decides to double the testing of corona suspects from 10000 now to 20000 in the next three days
  • Flipkart assures employees that there will be no job or salary cuts due to the COVID-19 pandemic
  • Although it was obvious, but the government still clarifies that there is no need to switch off appliances and only lights need to be switched off on April 5 at 9pm after confusion in the minds of some people
  • PM Modi and President Trump decide "to deploy full strength of (Indo-US) partnership" to fight against COVID-19
  • 17 states have reported 1023 cases of coronavirus linked to the Tablighi Jamaat, which translates to 30% of all positive cases in India
  • The government says people should not use alcohol-based hand sanitizers before lighting diyas or candles on April 5
  • The railways say there is no certainty yet when services will resume after the lockdown and a final decision will be taken in the next few days
  • As coronavirus cases multiply in Assam, six north-east states seal their borders with the state
  • Power System Operation Corporation Ltd. (POCOSO) putting all systems and protocols in place at war-footing to ensure there is no grid failure due to reduction in demand on April 5 at 9 pm
  • Power ministry scotches rumours that the power grid might fail due to the 9-minute blackout called by PM Modi on Sunday, April 5
  • Centre asks people to wear home-made masks if it is absolutely essential for them to step out of homes
  • Centre asks states to allow licensed street vendors to sell essential items
  • 8000 samples were tested across India on April 2, but the government said that testing will be need-based and will not be used as a confidence-boosting measure
  • Air India operating special flights to fly passengers stuck in India since the lockdown
India shows solidarity in the fight against COVID-19 by lighting diyas and candles at 9 pm yesterday as requested by Prime Minister Modi
oppn parties
Delhi: Kejriwal Poised For Another Innings As Chief Minister

By Linus Garg
First publised on 2020-02-08 19:32:14

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Linus tackles things head-on. He takes sides in his analysis and it fits excellently with our editorial policy. No 'maybe's' and 'allegedly' for him, only things in black and white.

There was an uncharacteristically low voter turnout in the Delhi elections today. Only about 55% of the people cast their votes. What does this mean? Low voter turnout is generally a sign of confidence in the incumbent government whereas the opposite signifies anti-incumbency. When people come out to vote in large numbers, they want to change the government, says conventional wisdom. But is it true for Delhi? And what reference point does one take to analyze this? The 2015 state elections or the 2017 local body elections or the 2019 general elections?

In the 2015 elections, 67.47% of the electorate voted, which was a record then. The AAP swept the elections, getting 67 of the 70 seats. There was a 54% turnout in the 2017 local body elections in which the BJP upset the AAP applecart. The 2019 Lok Sabha elections saw 60.60% of the electorate casting their votes and they gave all 7 seats to the BJP. But the low voter turnout this time means that despite a vitriolic campaign run by the BJP, it has not convinced people in large numbers to come out and vote for it.

The exit polls also confirm this. The poll of all exit polls estimates 50-55 seats for the AAP, 10-15 seats for the BJP and 1-2 seats for the Congress. There is no major swing away from the AAP compared to 2015 elections and while the BJP has gained some percentage points, it seems it is at the cost of the Congress. If the exits polls have captured the voting patterns correctly, it seems the people of Delhi have rewarded Arvind Kejriwal with another term for the good work he has done for them and have rejected the high octane but divisive campaign carried out by the BJP. This time, the BJP tactic of not declaring a candidate for the chief minister's post seems to have misfired big time and they just could not counter his good governance record with their nationalist propaganda. It also proves once again that while Modi gets them the votes in national elections, he does not sway the voters in state elections.