oppn parties Delhi: Kejriwal Poised For Another Innings As Chief Minister

News Snippets

  • Government data placed in Parliament shows a sharp decline in job creation under its flagship employment generation schemes
  • The government is working to amend the Aadhar Act to make it possible for the Aadhar to be linked with the Voter's ID. Election Commission will simultaneously be empowered to link the two
  • Tapas Pal, former TMC MP, dies of cardiac arrest in Mumbai. He was questioned for his alleged involvement in the Rose Valley scam and gained notoriety for his rape remark in 2014.
  • Bypoll to panchayats in J&K, scheduled for March in eight phases, postponed due to security concerns.
  • Supreme Court says that overhead power transmission lines going through the Desert National Park in Jaisalmer in Rajasthan must go underground to save the Great Indian Bustard and the Lesser Florican
  • Pakistan not placed in FAFT blacklist but kept on the grey list with warning
  • The government is expected to announce duty cuts and other measures to combat business disruption due to coronavirus outbreak in China
  • South-East Asia loses its charm as a tourist destination after the coronavirus outbreak in China, airfares dip to new lows
  • DMK leader RS Bharathi says media is running like the red light area in Mumbai
  • A Delhi court issues fresh warrants for the hanging of the Nirbhaya convicts. Fixes the date for March 3
  • Supreme Court appoints a mediation team to ask Shaheen Bagh protestors to avoid blocking the road and shift to another venue
  • Supreme Court says peaceful protests cannot be denied in a democracy but also says that a balance must be struck as protestors cannot be allowed to block roads
  • Telcos pay part of their dues for AGR after the bashing from the Supreme Court
  • Debbie Abrahams, a Labour MP from UK, who was critical of India's action in Kashmir, not allowed to enter India. She was deported to Dubai from the Delhi airport
  • Sidharth Shukla wins Big Boss 13
Former principal secretary to PM Modi, Nripendra Mishra, appointed to head the temple committee of the Ram Janambhoomi Teertha Kshetra Trust
oppn parties
Delhi: Kejriwal Poised For Another Innings As Chief Minister

By Linus Garg
First publised on 2020-02-08 19:32:14

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Linus tackles things head-on. He takes sides in his analysis and it fits excellently with our editorial policy. No 'maybe's' and 'allegedly' for him, only things in black and white.

There was an uncharacteristically low voter turnout in the Delhi elections today. Only about 55% of the people cast their votes. What does this mean? Low voter turnout is generally a sign of confidence in the incumbent government whereas the opposite signifies anti-incumbency. When people come out to vote in large numbers, they want to change the government, says conventional wisdom. But is it true for Delhi? And what reference point does one take to analyze this? The 2015 state elections or the 2017 local body elections or the 2019 general elections?

In the 2015 elections, 67.47% of the electorate voted, which was a record then. The AAP swept the elections, getting 67 of the 70 seats. There was a 54% turnout in the 2017 local body elections in which the BJP upset the AAP applecart. The 2019 Lok Sabha elections saw 60.60% of the electorate casting their votes and they gave all 7 seats to the BJP. But the low voter turnout this time means that despite a vitriolic campaign run by the BJP, it has not convinced people in large numbers to come out and vote for it.

The exit polls also confirm this. The poll of all exit polls estimates 50-55 seats for the AAP, 10-15 seats for the BJP and 1-2 seats for the Congress. There is no major swing away from the AAP compared to 2015 elections and while the BJP has gained some percentage points, it seems it is at the cost of the Congress. If the exits polls have captured the voting patterns correctly, it seems the people of Delhi have rewarded Arvind Kejriwal with another term for the good work he has done for them and have rejected the high octane but divisive campaign carried out by the BJP. This time, the BJP tactic of not declaring a candidate for the chief minister's post seems to have misfired big time and they just could not counter his good governance record with their nationalist propaganda. It also proves once again that while Modi gets them the votes in national elections, he does not sway the voters in state elections.