oppn parties Economic Data Should Not Be Window Dressed

News Snippets

  • Justice Surya Kaqnt sworn in as the 53rd CJI. Says free speech needs to be strengthened
  • Plume originating from volacnic ash in Ehtiopia might delay flights in India today
  • Supreme Court drops the fraud case against the Sandesaras brothers after they agree to pay back Rs 5100 cr. It gives them time till Dec 17 to deposit the money. The court took pains to say that this order should not be seen as a precedent in such crimes.
  • Chinese authorities detain a woman from Arunachal Pradesh who was travelling with her Indian passport. India lodges strong protest
  • S&P predicts India's economy to grow at 6.5% in FY26
  • The December MPC meet of RBI may reduce rates as the nation has seen steaqdy growth with little or no inflation
  • World Boxing Cup Finals: Hitesh Gulia wins gold in 70kgs
  • Kabaddi World Cup: Indian Women win their second consecutive title at Dhaka, beating Taipei 35-28
  • Second Test versus South Africa: M Jansen destroys India as the hosts lose all hopes of squaring the series. India out for 201, conceding a lead of 288 runs which effectively means that South Africa are set to win the match and the series
  • Defence minister Rajnath Singh said that Sindh may be back in India
  • After its total rejection by voters in Bihar, the Congress high command said that it happened to to 'vote chori' by the NDA and forced elimination of voters in the SIR
  • Central Consumer Protection Authority (CCPA) fined a Patna cafe Rs 30000 for adding service charge on the bill of a customer after it was found that the billing software at the cafe was doing it for all patrons
  • Kolkata HC rules that the sewadars (managers) of a debuttar (Deity's) property need not take permission from the court for developing the property
  • Ministry of Home Affairs said that there were no plans to introduce a bill to change the status of Chandigarh in the ensuing winter session of Parliament
  • A 20-year-old escort and her agent were held in connection with the murder of a CA in a Kolkata hotel
Iconic actor Dharmendra is no more, cremated at Pawan Hans crematorium in Juhu, Mumbai
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Economic Data Should Not Be Window Dressed

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2018-12-01 08:57:22

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator.
It needs to be recognized that modern economy – in fact, even society – is increasingly being driven by data. Hence, it is imperative that data collection, analysis and presentation are robust, timely and credible. Since the Indian economy is in the top six in the world and growing at a good rate, both domestic and international investors look to invest here and their decisions are largely based on sectoral data and related policy decisions of the government. The government also takes policy decisions based on economic data.

Hence, frequent tinkering with back data confuses economists and investors and is not good for generating inflow of funds in the economy or for formulating policy. The NDA government has shifted the base year for calculations from 2004-05 to 2011-12. While there is nothing intrinsically wrong in this as it brings data closer to current prices given that inflation skews the figures over time, the effects have triggered a political row. The new set of back data show that the growth rate during the first four years of UPA I & II was 6.7%, much lower than the earlier figure of 8.1% (with 2004-05 as base) and lower than the 7.4% achieved under NDA in the last four years (with 2011-12 as base).

Periodic updating of the base year is necessary and is done in all economies across the globe. It is not as if the UPA growth rate has been rubbished by the new set of data. Those who understand economics, statistics and data will always talk about growth rates as per the base year from which they are calculated. Hence, there is no need for political squabbling. But it also needs to be stressed that frequent tinkering with data, window dressing figures and presenting them in slanted way is not proper and should be avoided at all costs.