oppn parties Assam: How Rahul & Tarun Gogoi Lost a State

News Snippets

  • 16 killed as the vehicle they were traveling in plunged into a deep gorge near Jammu
  • Vodafone CEO seeks government relief, saying India operations on the verge of collapse
  • Three teenagers killed in a major accident in Kolkata's New Town area when their Honda City rammed into a road divider and a Metro pillar. The car was mangled
  • Vishwa Hindu Parishad not to publicly 'celebrate' Babri Masjid demolition day this year, all events will be closed door
  • JNU students march against the steep hike in fees, keep HRD minister Ramesh Pokhriyal stuck at the venue of the convocation
  • USFDA says Cytotron, an anti-cancer kit developed by Bengaluru based Rajah Vijay Kumar, is a "breakthrough device" for treating liver, pancreatic and breast cancers
  • Car sales show a minuscule uptrend after declining continuously for 11 months
  • Industrial output contracts by 4.3% in September, the worst decline in 8 years
  • Centre defends abrogation of Article 370 in the Supreme Court, says the power under it was used by the President six times previously
  • Legendary singer Lata Mangeshkar admitted to hospital with lung infection, put on ventilator
  • Shiv Sena MP Arvind Sawant quits as Union Minister
  • National Security Advisor Ajit Doval met the leaders of both Hindus and Muslims in Delhi on Sunday to ensure peace and harmony is maintained after the Ayodhya verdict
  • Tipu Jayanti passes off peacefully in Karnataka
  • 10 dead as Cyclone Bulbul leaves destruction in its wake in West Bengal
  • Shefali Verma breaks Sachin's 30-year old record by scoring an international fifty at 15 years and 285 days
India Commentary wishes all its readers a very Happy Guruparab
oppn parties
Assam: How Rahul & Tarun Gogoi Lost a State

By Sunil Garodia

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Writes for a number of publications.
The old order gives way to new is a saying that does not apply to the Congress party. Anti-incumbency takes many forms and resentment within party ranks and the general public against an 81 year old satrap who has ruled the state indifferently for the last 15 years was growing and visible to all but the Congress high command. It did not wake up to the problem even when its most efficient and resourceful state leader Himanta Biswa Sarma petitioned it to force a change of guard in the state several months ago. Congress was smug – Gogoi fed it the line that he was there and after him, his son Gaurav was there to carry on the ‘good’ work. Rahul Gandhi fell for it hook, line and sinker and will repent in leisure.

Gogoi has been lording over Assam Congress much like the Gandhis are over the party at the national level. Given its feudal nature, the party high command did not want to disturb a loyal local satrap who has been with the Gandhis through thick and thin. But there comes a time when loyalty has to be sacrificed to achieve long term goals. Gogoi should have been made to realize that a government led by Himanta Biswa Sarma, with Gaurav Gogoi as a minister, was its best bet to counter a rising BJP in the state. But Rahul Gandhi treated Sarma as an upstart and chose to go with Gogoi. Obviously, he had his reasons but they have misfired badly.

The BJP on the other hand did everything right in the run up to the elections. It admitted a disgruntled Sarma, gave him enough responsibilities and let him loose on his old party. Sarma, with his organizational capabilities and resourcefulness (read collection of funds for the party) became an asset to the party. On his part, Sarma worked tirelessly to augment the RSS network and suddenly, the BJP became a front runner is seats where traditionally the Congress held sway. Then, Sarbanada Sonowal was projected as the CM candidate well in time. His youthful face swayed a large number of voters. Also, there is no doubt that the Modi factor is strongest in Assam. The PM’s rallies have attracted huge turnouts by state standards. These have converted into votes at an impressive strike rate. The party also made sensible alliances with the AGP and the BPF. Finally, the BJP has used the RSS network in upper Assam to its benefit in spreading the message of development. Disenchanted voters have put their trust in the party. Gogoi was living on borrowed time for the last two years, ever since the 2014 Lok Sabha results showed BJP sweeping the state. Congress and Gogoi did not take any action to rectify the situation and voter discontent increased in these two years, culminating in an unsung farewell when it mattered.