oppn parties Congress-JD(S) Will Always Have To Be On Guard

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  • Crude prices fall sharply as Saudi Arabia assures normal production in a few weeks. Prices fall by 5.4% to $65.30 per barrel
  • Sensex tumbles 700 points over fears that rising crude prices will deal a body blow to the tottering Indian economy
  • As Rajeev Kumar fails to appear before the CBI despite several notices, the agency forms a special team to locate and apprehend him
  • S Jaishankar says Pakistan is not a normal neighbour and its behaviour is a "set of aberrations"
  • External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar says PoK in Indian territory and the country hopes to have physical jurisdiction over it one day
  • Barasat Sessions court near Kolkata rejects Rajeev Kumar anticipatory bail application citing lack of jurisdiction as the reason
  • PM Modi celebrates his birthday with Narmada aarti and later has lunch with his mother.
  • All 6 Bahujan Samaj Party MLAs merge with the Congress in Rajasthan
  • Bengal CM Mamata Banerjee to meet PM Modi on Wednesday, state issues on the agenda
  • Pakistan to open Kartarpur corridor on Nov 9
  • Rajeev Kumar, ex-police commissioner of Kolkata and wanted for questioning in the Sarada scam does not appear before the CBI despite the state administration requesting him to do so
  • Supreme Court asks the Centre to restore normalcy in J&K but keeping national interest in mind
  • As Trump accepts the invitation to attend a programme in Houston with PM Modi, India rushes to settle trade issues with US
  • After drone attack on Aramco's Suadi Arabia facility, oil prices jump 19% in intra-day trading causing worries for India
  • Imran Khan raises nuclear war bogey again, says if Pakistan loses a conventional war, it might fight till the end with its nuclear arsenal
Sunni Wakf Board and Nirvani Akhara write to the Supreme Court for a negotiated settlement to the Ayodhya dispute
oppn parties
Congress-JD(S) Will Always Have To Be On Guard

By Sunil Garodia

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Writes for a number of publications.
The Congress-JD(S) combine in Karnataka has won the first and most important round by keeping its flock together and forcing BS Yeddyurappa to resign without facing the floor test. It was not a small victory given the fact that the BJP employed all its might including inducements, coercion and threats to snare the MLAs. But for once, both the JD(S) and the Congress displayed immense management skills to ensure that not even one MLA crossed over.

Having cleared the first hurdle, the combine has quickly got down to business. With the Congress having already declared “unconditional” support to the JD(S) with HD Kumaraswamy as chief minister for the full term, the matter is now only of cabinet formation. It seems that there will be a deputy CM from the Congress with 20 ministries going to the Congress and 13, including important ones such as finance and PWD, to the JD(S). The only hiccup is the demand by Lingayat MLAs (16 of them from the Congress and 4 from JD(S)) that there should be a Lingayat deputy CM. One is sure that after the BJP onslaught was successfully tackled, this demand will not cause much concern.

But the alliance will have to perpetually be on guard against poaching from the BJP. Smarting under the defeat, the next best alternative for the BJP will be to try and break the alliance. If the BJP manages to win the two seats where elections were deferred, its tally will rise to 106. If the two independents also support it, it will further rise to 108. Then the count will stand at 108:116 and the BJP will need to snare just 9 MLAs to reduce the strength of the house by making them resign. Then in a house of 215, it will have 108 to the alliance’s 107. This situation can arise in the future as the BJP is not going to sit idle. Then there is the Siddaramaiah angle too. The way he has been sidelined, a rebellion cannot be ruled out. In that case, the Congress will lose more than 15 to 20 MLAs. The combine has to guard against all these eventualities and walk a very tight rope while ruling the state.