oppn parties Opinion Poll: Assam Headed the BJP Way

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  • 84 NDRF teams have been despatched to 23 states to tackle the flood situation
  • Three persons lynched in Bihar after being accused of cattle theft
  • Delhi police seize a consignment of 1500 kgs of heroin and busts a cartel of Afghanistan-Pakistan narcotics dealers with links to the Taliban
  • Supreme Court gives 9 more months to complete the Babri Masjid demolition case trial
  • Priyanka Gandhi not allowed to meet the families of the dead in the Sonabhadra firing, arrested
  • ICC inducts Sachin Tendulkar in [email protected]@@s Hall of Fame
  • Stock markets bleed for the second day. Sensex crashes 560 points
  • S Jaishankar, Minister of External Affairs, says Pakistan should release and repatriate Kulbhushan Jadhav immediately
  • Karnataka Governor Vajubhai Vala asks the Speaker to hold the trust vote latest by 1.30 pm today
  • The Government sends a list of 24 questions to mobile app company that runs video app TikTok seeking answers for anti-national and obscene content carried on the platform
  • Sarvana Bhawan founder P Rajagopal, serving a life term for murder, dies in a Chennai hospital
  • SC allows time till July 31 to the Ayodhya mediation panel
  • IT department attaches "benami" plot worth Rs 400cr in Noida. The plot allegedly belongs to BSP leader [email protected]@@s brother and his wife
  • Dawood [email protected]@@s nephew, Md. Rizwan Iqbal, was arrested from Mumbai airport as he was waiting to board a flight to Dubai
  • Trouble brews in Bihar JD(U)-BJP alliance as Bihar police asks special branch officers to keep tabs on RSS activities
Even after indicating that the trust vote will be held today (he said he cannot delay as he had to face the world), the Karnataka Speaker adjourns the assembly until Monday. Voting is likely to take place on Monday
oppn parties
Opinion Poll: Assam Headed the BJP Way

By Sunil Garodia

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator. Writes for a number of publications.
Is Assam headed the BJP way? The ABP-Nielsen opinion poll, in a complete reversal of fortunes, predicts that BJP and its allies will get 78 seats; exactly the number Congress has in the outgoing assembly. To many, this would seem out of place with the ground reality. Although BJP did extremely well in Assam in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, and it declared its chief ministerial candidate in Sarbananda Sonowal at an early stage so as not to repeat the mistakes of Delhi and Bihar, there are questions about its infrastructure in the state.

But all these can be put aside if there is general discontent against Tarun Gogoi and the 15 years of Congress rule. Although Assam is used to the “lahe-lahe” (slowly-slowly) culture, the people have acquired new aspirations post the ULFA phase and dynamic youngsters are now asking why the state lags behind in most things despite having had a PM (Manmohan Singh) who was an MP from the state. People have started questioning the widespread corruption and apathy in the government. This will work to the benefit of the BJP which is fast emerging as the main and viable alternative.

There is the billionaire perfume baron Badruddin Ajmal and his AIUDF to contend with. AIUDF has 18 seats in the outgoing assembly and they won 3 Lok Sabha seats in 2014. The party is expected to retain its strongholds in lower Assam and can make inroads in some pockets elsewhere. Ajmal has projected himself as the kingmaker who no party can ignore. In fact, many analysts feel that in case of a hung assembly, Congress and Ajmal can come together in a marriage of convenience to keep BJP out. But if the opinion polls come true, the BJP will be in a position to form the government with its allies and no unholy alliances will be forged.