oppn parties Political Murders: TMC's Strong Arm Tactics Can Backfire

News Snippets

  • Trouble brews in Bihar JD(U)-BJP alliance as Bihar police asks special branch officers to keep tabs on RSS activities
  • Trust vote in Karnataka assembly today. With rebel MLAs deciding to stay away after the SC order, the Congress-JD(S) government is likely to fall as it does not have the numbers
  • Amit Shah says the government will identify and deport illegal immigrants from all parts of the country
  • Reports from Pakistan confirm that Hafiz Saeed has been arrested and sent to jail
  • After the SC order, Karnataka Speaker says he will go by the Constitution in deciding on the resignations of the 16 MLAs
  • Rebel MLAs say they will not attend the trust vote on Thursday
  • Supreme Court rules that rebel MLAs cannot be forced to attend the assembly and vote in the floor test
  • Both the Centre and the Assam government have sought re-verification of up to 20% of draft NRC data
  • Pakistan opens its airspace for Indian planes
  • Dilapidated building collapses in Mumbai, killing more than 10 people while many were still trapped
  • Kulbhushan Jadhav case verdict to be delivered today by the ICJ
  • A Vistara flight landed in Lucknow with just 5 to 10 minutes of fuel left in the tank
  • Supreme Court to decide on Karnataka MLAs plea today
  • Karnataka alliance to face floor test on Thursday
  • China says that the next Dalai Lama will be appointed by it
International Court of Justice agrees with India, stays Kulbhushan Jadhav's execution. It asks Pakistan to allow consular access to the accused.
oppn parties
Political Murders: TMC's Strong Arm Tactics Can Backfire

By Slogger

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Holding an extreme view and carting the ball out of the park is what interests him most. He is a hard hitter at all times. Fasten your seatbelts and read.
The body of a BJP worker was found hanging from a tree in the Purulia district of West Bengal. That it was a political killing was not left in doubt when the note found in his body certified that he was killed for supporting the saffron party. The boy’s father has confirmed that he had canvassed for the BJP in the recently concluded panchayat elections.

The killing proves that the TMC, despite saying that the people are with it and regularly polling more than 50% of the votes in all elections, is scared of consolidation of Hindu votes because of its largely minorities-based politics. Having liquidated the CPM and reduced the Congress to some pockets, the party is worried at the trend of rising support for the BJP. Hence, it uses all kinds of strong arm tactics, including murder, to scare people away from supporting the BJP.

But the party must realize two things. One, 100% of the people will never vote for a single party in any democracy as people’s political preferences vary vastly. Two, there cannot be a vacuum in electoral politics. If the party has destroyed the support base of the Left and the Congress, it is not that they will automatically vote for the TMC. If they find an alternative in the BJP, they will gravitate towards it. This is increasingly evident in the way BJP is increasing its vote share in the state.

Although the BJP vote share is nowhere near the 40% CPM used to get in its heydays, it has steadily risen to be between 25 and 28%. There is still a 22-25% floating vote that goes to Congress, the Left and independents. If the BJP manages to take its vote share to even 35% and if there is a swing of just 3-4% away from the TMC, it will become very difficult for the party to retain a maximum of seats. That is the fear that is driving the TMC to violent tactics to retain support. But such tactics often backfire when coupled with anti-incumbency. The TMC has to be very careful lest its violence and murders drive more people into the arms of the BJP.

pic courtesy: ndtv.com